Head for the hills, or learn to tread water.

Al Gore’s sycophants are correct: the planet’s climate is changing. (It always has.)

They’re wrong about our ability to do anything about it.

While listening on my new Android phone to a BBC program about the movement of our ancestors across the globe, I came upon the following graph. It’s based on data from an Antarctic ice core sample and clearly shows that the Earth undergoes warming and cooling cycles with periods of 90,000 years or so. About 50,000 years ago, as the last ice age was ending, Homo Sapiens began to venture from Africa northward to Europe and Asia. The cold apparently reduced our herd to just a few thousand people. The smart ones survived.

planetseed website

Here’s a graph of estimated global temperature for the past 425,000 years. This temperature record was computed from analysis of ice cores taken at Vostok, a Russian research base in Antarctica, starting in 1970. The deepest core reached 3,623 m (11,886 ft) into the ice sheet. The ice at the bottom has been undisturbed for about half a million years. During this time there have been four ice ages.

From www.planetseed.com/node/15221

In the near future, as the planet continues to warm, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets will melt, which will cause sea levels to rise by 3 to 6 feet by 2100. How much ice will be lost is unclear. Most of South Florida will be under seawater. We’ll probably need to abandon many coastal cities such as Venice and New Orleans.

Low-lying areas such as Bangladesh will be submerged, their soil contaminated by saltwater, reducing availability of food, which will put pressure on higher elevation neighbors. It seems inevitable to me that food shortages will result in global population decline, until once again the climate cools.

If this temperature cycle is true to form, global temperatures will fall again over the next 50,000 years or so, so we’ll be able to hang up our snorkels.

The notion that we can deter the inevitable changes in climate strikes me as hubris. One rule applies to the universe: nothing, not even our precious planet and its climate, remains the same.

Al Gore’s attempt to profit by selling his ludicrous carbon credits would be laughable if it didn’t reveal the avarice at its core.

Who am I? To the global warming industry, I’m a nobody. I make a living troubleshooting systems. I’ve learned to assume nothing, discount conventional wisdom, sift through existing data, collect my own raw data, and draw my own conclusions. Do I like the idea that we’re warming and the oceans are rising? No, but Mother Nature always wins. Always.

Visit my website: http://russbellew.com
© Russ Bellew · Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA · phone 954 873-4695

2 thoughts on “Head for the hills, or learn to tread water.”

  1. I agree with your conclusion, nature does always win. Will we all be under water? If so, how soon will we be under water? Those are still open to debate. In the long run, the answer to the 1st is yes, but will that occur in the next hundred or thousand years, or will it take longer?

    There is a good article on BBC news re: recent research (some released today in the journal Science). The conclusion is: “Until the long-term pattern is resolved, they suggest, it will not be possible to forecast sea level rise from Greenland’s water store with any accuracy.”

    “It is too early to proclaim the ‘ice sheet’s future doom’ and subsequent contribution to serious water problems for the world.”

    Also, wikipedia has a good article on Ice Ages (glacial ages). “The Earth has been in an interglacial period known as the Holocene for more than 11,000 years.” That follows the extinction of some of North America’s large mammals (mammoths, saber-tooth tigers, etc). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age

    Wikipedia also has some good info re: mass extinctions (and great references to follow for more info). (side note: I’m enjoying Wikipedia more and more as it is refined and more info and references are added. It’s become a great resource and a starting point for research when I have to write papers for paleontolgy classes I’m taking — of course, I have to read the original writings referred to.)
    Over 98% of documented species are now extinct,[2] but extinction occurs at an uneven rate.

    Since life began on Earth, several major mass extinctions have significantly exceeded the background extinction rate. The most recent, the Cretaceous–Paleogene extinction event, which occurred approximately 65.5 million years ago (Ma), was a large-scale mass extinction of animal and plant species in a geologically short period of time. In the past 540 million years there have been five major events when over 50% of animal species died. Mass extinctions seem to be a Phanerozoic phenomenon, with extinction rates low before large complex organisms arose.[3]


    1. The exact timetable for sea level rise does seem to be unclear: predictions range from 1 meter to 10 meters by 2100. The thing that got my attention was the periodicity of global temperatures, and the similar slopes of each temperature maximum: fast rise times, brief peaks, and slow drops in temperature. The graph resembles a pulse train, almost like that of a beating heart, doesn’t it?

      By extrapolating previous data, it looks like we may climb another degreee or two before we reach previous highs. I guess that it’s tough to predict near-term temperatures. But if past is prologue, over the next few thousand years, the globe will be cooling.

      Sea level rise of just a few feet here in Florida will have a major impact on the state’s ability to support habitation. The Biscayne aquifer is vulnerable to salt water incursion.

      I’m also a fan of Wikipedia. It’s become one of my fave Android apps, as well.


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